Earnings Quality

 

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Sloan (1996)
Xie (2001)
Penman and Zhang (2002)
Richardson et al. (2002)

The 'Earnings Quality' area summarizes papers implementing strategies that exploit predictable changes in future earnings performance resulting from accounting distortions.  Long positions are taken in securities that are predicted to have increases in earnings performance and short positions are taken in securities that are predicted to have decreases in earnings performance.

Sloan (1996)aaa

This paper shows that the accrual component of earnings is less persistent than the cash flow component of earnings, but that stock prices do not anticipate this effect.

Xie (2001)a

This paper shows that the accrual result documented by Sloan(1996) is primarily attributable to 'abnormal' accruals (accruals that are unrelated to changes in the underlying level of operating activity).

Penman and Zhang (2002)aa [Click Here to Download as PDF]

This paper shows that conservative accounting interacts with changes in investment to produce temporary distortions in earnings, and that stock prices act as if investors do not understand the temporary nature of these distortions.

Richardson et al. (2002)aaa  [Click Here to Download as PDF]

This paper extends Sloan's original definition of accruals to include investing and financing accruals and shows that these new accruals add significantly to the forecasting ability with respect to earnings persistence and future stock returns.

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