Frankel and Lee (1998)

 

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Accounting Valuation, Market Expectation and Cross-Sectional Stock Returnsaaa

   Richard Frankel and Charles M. C. Lee

    The Journal of Accounting and Economics, Volume 25, (1998), 283-319.

Synopsis

This paper provides three useful refinements to the basic valuation strategies discussed in Lakonishok et al.  First, it uses the residual income valuation model as a unifying framework for incorporating information in book value and earnings about intrinsic value.  Second, it uses analysts' forecasts of earnings in addition to historical earnings.  Third, it incorporates a model that adjusts for systematic biases in analysts' earnings forecasts (analysts tend to issue over-optimistic forecasts for growth firms).  Each of these adjustments leads to an improvement over the basic valuation strategies.  The annual hedge portfolio returns to a strategy that incorporates all of these refinements exceeds 10%.

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